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Best Football Analysis App

Author:Football Prediction SiteJan 12, 2022, 09:57:26Read times
DescriptionOdds are based on a certain calculation method for the strength difference between the two teams against each other, and the amount of bonuses obtained after the three results of victory, draw and loss are guessed before the start of the ga
Odds are based on a certain calculation method for the strength difference between the two teams against each other, and the amount of bonuses obtained after the three results of victory, draw and loss are guessed before the start of the game. This amount of bonus is called odds. The odds can accurately and objectively reflect the real strength gap between the two teams. When the strength gap between the two sides is large, the winning team will receive a very low bonus amount. , you can get 10 yuan after you guess correctly. Usually, the odds are between 1.30 and 1.80, and the probability of this happening is about 60% to 80%. The weaker side wins a very high bonus amount, usually between 3.00 and 5.00, and the highest is between 8.00 and 12.00, but the probability of this happening is very low, and the odds of the second flat are usually here. in between. Because people have different judgments on the three outcomes of winning, drawing and losing, especially the temptation to the size of the odds, the number of bets on the three outcomes is generally balanced. The conclusion that

the adjustment of the odds changes at any time according to the proportion of the betting amount

may subvert the cognition of many fans, but for practitioners in insurance and finance, this is a natural conclusion, because in these industries, risk aversion is the foundation One of the biggest sources of risk is uncertainty.

Predicting stake percentages is an easier task to accomplish than directly predicting the outcome of a match. The outcome of the game may be changed by an accidental decision by the referee, but with so many bettors on the market, it is almost impossible for the betting ratio to suddenly jump. Therefore, the betting ratio is more stable, easier to predict, less uncertain, and less risky than the outcome of the game.

This is related to the law of large numbers in probability theory: the more times a random event is repeated, the more accurately we can speculate about its probability. Each game is only played once, and there are not many games for reference in the past, so it is difficult to predict; there are thousands of bettors, although everyone has different ideas, but they are divided by a huge number of people, and in the end they can only watch To the average judgment of the crowd, it is easy to predict.
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